Awards, movie

2015 Oscar Prediction

The Academy Awards can be somewhat bias when it comes to the selection of their top category and next year’s ceremony will be no exception. 5 to 10 movies will be nominated  for best picture and over the years there’s been similarity/bias between with the genres. The top genres that is most likely to get a nomination are:

  • Bio-Pics – The Wolf of Wall Street grab a ton of nominations, but had the rug pulled from underneath them, winning not even one award at this years award. Theory of  Everything shows the same promise, or maybe Foxcatcher will be the bio-pic of the next year’s Oscars, without a doubt that Steve Carell will get a nom. for best actor and is my top pick to take home the statue come next year. Don’t forget about The Imitation Game the bio-pic of Alan Turing where Benedict Cumberbatch gave a stellar performance. This is the year of bio-pics.
  • Indie Films – Dallas Buyer Clubs made it into the history books when it became the fifth movie to win best actor and best supporting actor. Boyhood will be next year’s indie film and even if they don’t get any noms which is highly unlikely, they already broken movie record taking 12 years to make.
  • War Flick – Last year, war flicks missed out, although in previous year they find a way in the best picture category. Zero Dark Thirty (2013), War Horse (2012), The Hurt Locker which won best picture over Avatar in 2010. This year we have two to choose from, Fury and American Sniper, not only can both of these get a nom. for best picture but, David Ayer and Clint Eastwood are in the strong contenders to get a best director nomination.
  • Historical Films – based mostly slavery or human right. 12 Years a slave, which won this year, for not only best picture but for best supporting actress and best writing adapted screenplay. Over the years historical films has always find there way in the best picture category and next year will be no different with Selma, but will it finish filming in time.
  • Stunning Blockbuster/Epic – Earlier this year Gravity prove that a film can do well and win a ton of award. Interstellar shows the same promise, pleasing both movie-goers and critics alike. Gone Girl is a contender for best picture but is it too commercial for the Academy.
  • Musicals – Musicals are becoming more and more popular at the academy awards. With Chicago (2003) winning best picture and Les Miserables had multiply noms in 2013. This years musical is Into the Woods with alot of big name will it be able to continue the this trend. Too early to tell.

If a film is release late in the year it is more likely to get a nomination, regardless of the actor, director, writer and the studio. Other factor includes the content or theme of the film and major plot keyword such as “family tragedy” “race relation” etc contribute to grantee a nom.

Although the award show is months away it’s never to early to start making our predictions. Here are some of the top contenders in some of the categorys.

Best Picture

  1. Theory of Everything
  2. Big Eye
  3. Interstellar
  4. Gone Girl??
  5. Foxcatcher
  6. The Grand Budapest Hotel
  7. Fury 0r American Sniper
  8. Birdman
  9. Selma
  10. Unbroken (which is directed by Angelina Jolie)
  11. Inherent Vice
  12. The Imitation Game
  13. Into the Wood??

Best Director

  1. Clint Eastwood (American Sniper)
  2. Christopher Nolan (Interstellar)
  3. Ava DuVernay (Selma)
  4. Mortem Tyldum (The Imitation Game)
  5. David Fincher (Gone Girl)
  6. Angelina Jolie (Unbroken)

Best Actor

  1. Steve Carell (Foxcatcher)
  2. Benedict Cumberbatch (The Imitation Game)
  3. Philip Seymour Hoffman (A Most Wanted Man)
  4. Eddie Redmayne (Theory of Everything)
  5. Jake Gyllenhaal (Nightcrawler)
  6. Joaquin Phoenix (Inherent Voice)
  7. Michael Keaton (Birdman)
  8. Mathew McConaughey (Interstellar)
  9. Jack O’Connell (Unbroken)
  10. Ben Affleck (Gone Girl)
  11. Christoph Waltz (Bid Eyese

Best Actress

  1. Rosamund Pike (Gone Girl)
  2. Jessica Chastain (A Most Violent Year)
  3. Julianne Moore (Map to the Stars) or (Still Alice)
  4. Reese Witherspoon (Wild)
  5. Emily Blunt (Into the Woods)

Best Supporting Actor

  1. J.K Simmons (Whiplash)
  2. Logan Lerman (Fury)
  3. Takamasa Ishiara (Unbroken)
  4. Chrisoph Waltz (Big Eyes)
  5. Ansel Elgort (Men, Women & Children)
  6. Mark Ruffalo (Foxcatcher)

Best Supporting Actress

  1. Patricia Arquette (Boyhood)
  2. Meryl Streep (Into the Wild)
  3. Emma Stone (Birdman)
  4. Katherine Waterson (Inherent Vice)
  5. Laura Dern (Wild)
  6. Naomi Watts (St.Vincent)

Best Original Screenplay

  1. Interstellar (Christopher & Johnathon Nolan)
  2. Boyhood (Richard Linklater)
  3. A Most Violent Year (J.C. Chandor)
  4. Birdman (Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, Nicolas Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris, Armando Bo)
  5. Foxcatcher (Dan Futterman, E. Max Frye)
  6. Big Eye (Scott Alexander, Larry Karazewski)
  7. Fury (David Ayer)
  8. The Grand Budapest Hotel (Wes Anderson, Hugo Guinness)

Best Adapted Screenplay

  1. The Imitation Game (Graham Moore)
  2. Gone Girl (Gillian Flynn)
  3. Inherent Vice (Paul Thomas Anderson)
  4. Into the Woods (Jame Lapine)
  5. Theory of Everything (Anthony McCarten)
  6. Men, Women & Children (Jason Reitman, Erin Cressida Wilson)

Best Animated Feature

  1. The Lego Movie
  2. Big Hero 6
  3. The Box Trolls
  4. The Book of Life
  5. The Tales of Princess Kaguya
  6. How to Train your Dragon 2
  7. Rio 2

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WILL BE UPDATED

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5 thoughts on “2015 Oscar Prediction

  1. My best friend and I have an annual Oscar prediction battle royale which is now in it’s 20th year. I like to get an early start, so thanks for the suggestions. Maybe I’ll actually beat her this year. 🙂

    Like

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